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decision theory
Rational choice under uncertainty, from Bayesian foundations to exotic paradoxes
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history of computing
history of science
homelab
horror
indie games
information design
information theory
internet culture
javascript
kotlin
linguistics
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lock picking
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malware analysis
manga
materials science
math olympiad
mathematics
mechanical keyboards
meditation
metaphysics
music theory
mycology
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networking
neuroscience
nix
nonduality
nuclear
number theory
observability
oceanography
open source
operating systems
paleoanthropology
pharmacology
phenomenology
philosophy
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philosophy of science
photography
physics
pixel art
political philosophy
procedural generation
programming languages
puzzles
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quantum computing
reinforcement learning
retrocomputing
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robotics
rust
security
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semiotics
shell scripting
site reliability
solo dev
sourdough
space exploration
speedrunning
standup comedy
statistics
swift
synths
tabletop rpg
technical writing
thermodynamics
topology
true crime
type theory
typescript
typography
urban exploration
vinyl
wasm
webdev
witsrtn
woodworking
worldbuilding
writing
zig
260
SPOTting the Future: Lookahead Explanations for Deep Reinforcement Learning
(arxiv.org)
1 month ago ·
reinforcement learning
·
decision theory
220
Dunning Kruger Effect Wrong, Scientists Claim
(backreaction.blogspot.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
40
As Americans bet on elections, L.A. officials weigh how to safeguard voters
(latimes.com)
1 month ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
65
Computer scientists today are in the position of economists in the early 2000s and Freudian psychiatrists in the 1950s
(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
75
ENS Tokenholders Hand Endowment Control to a Staffed Foundation
(thedefiant.io)
1 month ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
220
Beyond Routing Weights: Faithful Response-Level Interpretation of Mixture-of-Experts Reward Models via Contribution Contrast
(arxiv.org)
1 month ago ·
reinforcement learning
·
decision theory
30
Radical collaboration requires friction
(designobserver.com)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
game theory
50
Why your clients aren’t buying and how to change that
(uxdesign.cc)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
350
Dutch-book resistant probability over centered worlds
(lesswrong.com)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
metaphysics
40
Kalshi cracks down on insider trading as Trump family looks to increase prediction market presence
(fortune.com)
1 month ago ·
algorithmic trading
·
decision theory
5
MLB Best Home Run Bets For August 10, 2026—Abreu And Soderstrom
(forbes.com)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
60
Corrupt Minds Think Alike
(nytimes.com)
1 month ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
45
The future of warfare? (from my email)
(marginalrevolution.com)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
sci fi
150
A mathematical measure of surprise explains why we fall for clickbait
(newscientist.com)
1 month ago ·
internet culture
·
decision theory
150
How to Decide When an AI Tool Is Worth Keeping
(nngroup.com)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
ai
110
How Overconfidence and Loss Aversion Co-Evolved
(neurosciencenews.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
75
You Cannot Outsource Life: Severance and Wild Problems
(econlib.org)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
Iran believes time is on its side in the war with the U.S. But its strategy carries great risks
(latimes.com)
1 month ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
20
Crossing the Rubicon
(krypt3ia.wordpress.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
1
James Bond cambia volto: i nomi che si stanno giocando la possibilità di essere 007
(repubblica.it)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
120
The Big Management Lie: Overpromising
(staysaasy.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
75
How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarian
(overcomingbias.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
65
What New Jobs?
(computerenhance.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
170
Montana’s new “right to try”: Opening the door to profit from unproven drugs
(sciencebasedmedicine.org)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
open source
10
272. “We own two houses, but can’t afford dinner out”
(iwillteachyoutoberich.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
5
Status And Social-Skill Bias
(overcomingbias.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
250
Tokens Should be NRE, Not COGS
(blog.herlein.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
110
Guests on the “Why Should I Trust You?” Podcast Want to Hang Doctors. Why Should I Trust It?
(sciencebasedmedicine.org)
1 month ago ·
internet culture
·
decision theory
125
Pluralistic: The stupidest imaginable excuses for surveillance pricing (30 Jul 2026)
(pluralistic.net)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
110
The Best Prioritization Is No Prioritization
(staysaasy.com)
1 month ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
10
AI Skeptics (Casino Journalism) and SuperDataScience
(mathbabe.org)
1 month ago ·
decision theory
·
ai
245
Controllable Evidence Selection in Retrieval-Augmented Question Answering via Deterministic Utility Gating
(arxiv.org)
5 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
40
I'm OK being left behind, thanks!
(shkspr.mobi)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
The First Casualty of Trump’s War in Iran Was the Truth
(newyorker.com)
5 months ago ·
internet culture
·
decision theory
8
'Not everyone wants to be looking at footballers doing all the flashy things. A lot of it is false'
(the42.ie)
5 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
18
Vaccines Work. Here’s Why We Care About Your Unvaccinated Child.
(sciencebasedmedicine.org)
5 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
5
Art and tax: When collectors can avoid CGT
(moneyweb.co.za)
5 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
12
Should compulsive shopping and gaming be considered an addiction? Psychiatrists are considering expanding the definition.
(livescience.com)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
38
Fascist academics today and communist academics in the 1930s-1950s
(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
18
#698: Q&A: Should You Pause Retirement to Buy a Bigger Home?
(affordanything.com)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
32
Another reason to hate on prediction markets
(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
48
Pluralistic: Tools vs uses (16 Mar 2026)
(pluralistic.net)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
115
Was Anthropic that strategically incompetent?
(lesswrong.com)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
65
Less Capable Misaligned ASIs Imply More Suffering
(lesswrong.com)
5 months ago ·
cellular automata
·
decision theory
28
What Are We Actually Evaluating When We Say a Belief “Tracks Truth”?
(lesswrong.com)
5 months ago ·
metaphysics
·
decision theory
22
Some Links
(cafehayek.com)
5 months ago ·
economics
·
decision theory
12
Lobby gambling giants, not me, minister told advocate
(perthnow.com.au)
5 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
45
Prediction markets want the Oscars to be your gateway drug to betting on everything
(theverge.com)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
105
[Linkpost] Should we make grand deals about post-AGI outcomes?
(lesswrong.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
62
Inputs, outputs, and valued outcomes
(lesswrong.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
18
The Art of Taking Smart Risks
(theatlantic.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
40
#697: Bill Gurley: The Biggest Career Regret Most People Have
(affordanything.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
8
Billionaire Bill Ackman says he doesn’t like ‘wasting money’—he’ll even drive elsewhere for cheaper garages, despite once owning a parking company
(fortune.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
8
ইরান যুদ্ধ শেষ করতে ইসরায়েলকে এক সপ্তাহ সময় দিয়েছে ওয়াশিংটন: মার্কিন গণমাধ্যমের খবর
(prothomalo.com)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
10
Foreign secretary Yvette Cooper: ‘Making decisions based on what the US do or say doesn’t feel like sensible foreign policy’
(theguardian.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
8
Die Straat van Hormuz bly gesluit en olie hou bo $100 ‘n vat
(moneyweb.co.za)
6 months ago ·
board games
·
decision theory
8
March Madness: Why sports betting is booming among young adults
(thebrighterside.news)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
28
Just admit you’re playing the game
(manuelmoreale.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
22
Structurer l’organisation autour du métier pour accélérer le changement
(blog.octo.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
git internals
10
Build Agency, Adapt Faster, & Thrive in Uncertainty
(jacobaldridge.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
15
Oklo’s Other Enrichment Cycle
(robertbryce.substack.com)
6 months ago ·
solo dev
·
decision theory
12
Iran’s Desperate, High-Risk Survival Strategy
(newyorker.com)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
12
Equilibrium for max-plus payoff
(arxiv.org)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
8
Why the math says AI won’t steal your job: this exec found $49k savings per person from reskilling. It’s saved $55 million and counting
(fortune.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
Australia’s ban on Islamist group ‘comes at a cost’
(michaelwest.com.au)
6 months ago ·
digital rights
·
decision theory
8
Jeremy’s weekly wrap: Middle East turmoil hits South Africa
(moneyweb.co.za)
6 months ago ·
economics
·
decision theory
6
Quotation of the Day…
(cafehayek.com)
6 months ago ·
economics
·
decision theory
6
Some Links
(cafehayek.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
12
Anthropic’s investors could be the key to ending its Pentagon standoff—but some investors have opposite views
(fortune.com)
6 months ago ·
game dev
·
decision theory
12
Some Gamblers Made Big Profits On 'Well-Timed' Iran Strike Bets— Mike Levin Wants An Investigation
(forbes.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
algorithmic trading
12
Making a killing from prediction markets
(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
8
Ellison’s Next Trick: Pay Down Vast Debt With New Tech, More Movies
(forbes.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
12
It’s time for local news funders to pick winners, scale up, and force mergers, a new report argues
(niemanlab.org)
6 months ago ·
internet culture
·
decision theory
8
TCS | Sink or swim? Antony Makins on how AI is rewriting the rules of work
(techcentral.co.za)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
complexity
42
How to Trust Advertisers
(june.kim)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
8
A shiny new Fed chair will be keen to start with an interest rate cut—but the bank is growing more hawkish due to Iran
(fortune.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
Are you ready for more anti-LLM rhetoric? Because I'm ready for more anti-LLM rhetoric
(boston.conman.org)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
18
Productivity tip: rate things 1-10 without 7
(nikola-breznjak.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
Episode 250. “We spend 97% of what we make—and can’t stop”
(iwillteachyoutoberich.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
42
The Winter of our Pairs Trading Discontent: Problems, limitations, frustrations
(robotwealth.com)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
algorithmic trading
42
What It Takes to Make Good Decisions: Judgment, Not Calculation
(behavioralscientist.org)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
42
Premium: The Hater's Guide to Private Equity
(wheresyoured.at)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
42
Boring Wins - Stop Trying to Be Interesting
(brajeshwar.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
8
#693: AI, Layoffs, and the Future of Your Career – with Dr. Ben Zweig (Part 1 of 2)
(affordanything.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
Europe Is Betting on Biotech—But Success Depends on Demand
(rand.org)
6 months ago ·
pharmacology
·
decision theory
12
Episode 249. “We have $2M. Why can’t we enjoy life now?”
(iwillteachyoutoberich.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
6
#692: Q&A: My Brother-in-Law Wants to Buy a Rental in Mexico. Good Idea?
(affordanything.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
42
A Tale of Two Prices
(robotwealth.com)
6 months ago ·
finance
·
decision theory
12
Trump’s Tariffs Have Not Shifted the Trade Deficit
(conversableeconomist.com)
6 months ago ·
economics
·
decision theory
12
#690: Q&A: Should My Teen Go to College?
(affordanything.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
18
Non-Cooperative Games with Uncertainty
(blog.wolfram.com)
6 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
18
Learning the Bitter Lesson in 2026
(econlib.org)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
ai
42
Why Rational Choice Theory Should Not Be the Standard for Good Decisions
(behavioralscientist.org)
6 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
12
Bias Toward Action
(addyosmani.com)
6 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
12
Nicolai Tangen: The $2 Trillion Mind
(fs.blog)
7 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
18
When You Adopt Technology Matters More Than What You Adopt
(abdulapopoola.com)
7 months ago ·
behavioral economics
·
decision theory
1
Europe must act fast in Trump’s more brutal new world order: Luuk van Middelaar
(scmp.com)
7 months ago ·
decision theory
·
javascript
1
Socialist defeats far-right candidate in Portugal’s presidential runoff, exit polls show
(internazionale.it)
7 months ago ·
game theory
·
decision theory
1
Trump backs broadcast TV deal to ‘knock out fake news’
(michaelwest.com.au)
7 months ago ·
decision theory
1
Saturday assorted links
(marginalrevolution.com)
7 months ago ·
decision theory
·
behavioral economics
spaces
all
ai
sci fi
3d printing
aerospace
ai agents
algorithmic trading
amateur astronomy
animation
anthropology
api design
aquariums
archaeology
astrobiology
astrophysics
audio programming
behavioral economics
bioinformatics
birding
board games
cartography
category theory
cellular automata
chemistry
chess
climate science
cloud infrastructure
cognitive science
compilers
complexity
computer architecture
computer graphics
computer vision
conlangs
consciousness
containers
cpp
creative coding
cryptography
data engineering
data visualization
databases
decision theory
demoscene
design
devops
digital rights
distributed systems
ecology
economics
electronic music
elixir
embedded systems
energy
espresso
ethics
evolution
existentialism
exploit development
fermentation
film
finance
formal verification
forth
fpga
fractals
game dev
game theory
genetics
geology
git internals
go game
golang
ham radio
haskell
history
history of computing
history of science
homelab
horror
indie games
information design
information theory
internet culture
javascript
kotlin
linguistics
linux
lisp
lock picking
machine learning
malware analysis
manga
materials science
math olympiad
mathematics
mechanical keyboards
meditation
metaphysics
music theory
mycology
nanotechnology
networking
neuroscience
nix
nonduality
nuclear
number theory
observability
oceanography
open source
operating systems
paleoanthropology
pharmacology
phenomenology
philosophy
philosophy of mind
philosophy of science
photography
physics
pixel art
political philosophy
procedural generation
programming languages
puzzles
python
quantum computing
reinforcement learning
retrocomputing
reverse engineering
robotics
rust
security
self hosted
semiotics
shell scripting
site reliability
solo dev
sourdough
space exploration
speedrunning
standup comedy
statistics
swift
synths
tabletop rpg
technical writing
thermodynamics
topology
true crime
type theory
typescript
typography
urban exploration
vinyl
wasm
webdev
witsrtn
woodworking
worldbuilding
writing
zig